The Worst Tech Predictions of All Time

David Pogue writes an article for Scientific American about predicting the future of technology and how hard it is.  He gives some examples of some pretty bad predictions.  Here are just a few:

    • “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”—Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943
    • This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication.”—Western Union internal memo, 1876.


    • “I’d shut [Apple] down and give the money back to the shareholders.”—Michael Dell, founder and CEO of Dell, Inc., 1997


    • “Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night.”—Darryl Zanuck, 20th Century Fox, 1946


    • “Everyone’s always asking me when Apple will come out with a cell phone. My answer is, ‘Probably never.'”—David Pogue, The New York Times, 2006


    • “640K ought to be enough for anybody.”  — Bill Gates, 1981


  • “Apple [is] a chaotic mess without a strategic vision and certainly no future.”TIME, February 5, 1996


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