Last September, North Korea tested a nuclear bomb that was supposedly its biggest and strongest yet but at the same time still able to fit on the end of a missile. There’s a lot of science between putting a warhead on a rocket and that warhead surviving the ride. But things got really weird in a place known to be left of surreal.
And here we go.
Let’s fast forward to March of 2018, when suddenly and without fanfare or notice, Kim Jong Un, North Korea’s decidedly different leader, shows up in Bejing, meeting with leader for life, Chinese President Xi Jinping.
And now, with an alacrity that defies reason and past history we have this, from a week or so ago, Kim met with, in person, without any preconditions, South Korea’s president, Moon Jae-in.
Now before you get giddy and start singing Kim bye ya’ll, North Korea made deals to get rid of its nukes in 1992, 1994, 2005, and as recently as 2012. But this is the first time the two leaders of those two countries have ever gotten together and made this sort of deal, together, with their wives holding hands, and the world watching.
My take: Crazy never sleeps.
The Chinese want a reunified Korea that is friendly with the United States, particularly a United States with an unstable leader with a bad haircut and a history of threatening other nations with nuclear attack, as much as the Catholics want stronger child molestation laws. The Russians are less than thrilled with reunification, also. If you were not aware there was a Russian / North Korean border, you aren’t paying attention.
With the Chinese building artificial islands in the Pacific so they can claim the waters are territorial, and therefore control who comes and goes, it is damn unlikely Kim went to China and told President Xi Jinping he was reunifying the Korean Peninsula and he hoped everyone would accept this. I think this is highly unlikely.
What is more likely is that Kim was summoned by the Chinese to explain what in the hell was going on with all the earthquakes from the same area as the nuke tests. It’s been suggested that Kim’s nuke test program imploded and killed a lot of people he needed to be alive. I’m not really sure how much credibility to give this one. But if you’re arming yourself for a nuke fest to see who has the strangest haircut and suddenly you declare peace, it’s because you’re a lot stronger than everyone else or you’re a hell of a lot weaker.
What is a lot more likely than anything else is that North Korea’s nuclear program suffered a catastrophic setback under the mountains. The Chinese called Kim in to tell him to stop playing with fire or they would cut his allowance. Kim’s plan now is to play nice with everyone, hoping if he mentions Trump’s electoral victory and inauguration crowd size, there will be a bigly foreign aid package that can kickstart his nuke program again.
Crazy never sleeps. Kim is as dangerous right now as he was when he took office in 2011. The idea that this man woke up one morning and decided to give peace a chance is naïve and it is fraught with peril.
Whatever happened under the mountain that precipitated the summoning to Beijing and then the love fest, might be the real deal and we’ll see peace in our time.
Which seems more likely to you?